The Week That Was – August 4 to August 10

The start of the week saw Australia’s Foreign Minister Marise Payne and Defence Minister Linda Reynolds meet with their American counterparts – Defence Secretary Mark Esper (who’s only just started in the job) and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo as part of AUSMIN talks. America is asking Australia to consider joining the coalition of navies in the Middle East, protecting oil tankers from interference from the Iranians, which is still being mulled over.

There are also rumours that the USA might ask Australia to play host to some mid-range missile batteries in the future – as a way to counter China. While Payne and Pompeo gave non-answers at an event after the AUSMIN meetings, Linda Reynolds has said that in discussions with Pompeo and Esper that they have denied that they want Australia to host missiles. Most foreign policy experts believe that the denial could be temporary, and we will have to see if the Americans ask us in the future. This is also leading to questions about how our relationships with our strategic partners like the USA, will balance with the relationships we have with our trading partners like China.

Meanwhile, Canning MP Andrew Hastie has gotten himself in hot water over comments he made in a column about China this week. He suggested that the West had misjudged China and it’s growth and expansion, drawing parallels with the French misjudging the rise of Nazi Germany before World War Two. Aside from the fact he invoked Godwin’s Law, Hastie also got told off by the Chinese government – who said he had a “Cold War mentality”. He’s also receiving mixed reviews from his colleagues, with Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese and Finance Minister Matthias Cormann saying Hastie’s comments were inflammatory and ill-advised, while Scott Morrison has pulled the “He’s a backbencher, he can say what he wants” card. While Hastie is a backbencher, he is also the chair of the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Intelligence and Security. Some argue that this means he should know better than to make comments like that, while some wonder if he was trying to get himself a headline or some attention.

It appears that a second government agency was involved in the investigation that led to the raid on ABC offices a few months ago. Centre Alliance Senator Rex Patrick asked for information on the raids from the Australian Federal Police (AFP) under Freedom of Information Laws. However, the AFP declined, saying that an agency exempt under the Freedom of Information Act was involved. The only agencies that are exempt are Australia’s intelligence agencies, both domestic and international. Rex Patrick believes this means that either the Australian Signals Directorate (ASD) or the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO) were involved in the investigation into how the ABC’s reporter Dan Oakes got hold of the documents that helped him put together the news stories known as The Afghan Files.

This week’s Council of Australian Governments (COAG) meeting had one major outcome – the agreement that all states would cease to send their recyclables overseas. It won’t happen instantly, as each state has to work on the change individually and find ways to ensure that the recyclables actually get recycled and don’t just get dumped in landfill or the ocean.

Also this week, the NSW Lower House passed abortion legislation, but it still has to get through the Upper House. If successful, this legislation will bring NSW’s abortion laws into line with pretty much every other state in Australia.

Tweet of the Week

This week, it’s technically an Instagram post. This week saw snowfalls in Victoria, the ACT and New South Wales – including the Blue Mountains region just outside of Sydney.

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

The toddler at the Garma Festival that stole the show – ABC Online

Laura Tingle on if the Morrison government knows how to deal with China – ABC Online

The Aged Care Royal Commission hears recommendations are ignored – ABC Online

The Two Weeks That Were – July 21 to August 4

Sorry, this might be a bit longer than normal…

Parliament was back this fortnight, but the main focus was the maiden speeches of new members like Zali Steggall and Helen Haines. As there aren’t any particularly controversial people in parliament right now, there was not much to report on. If you’re desperate to know what the new members said in their speeches, you can always check out Hansard. However it wasn’t just maiden speeches in parliament in the last two weeks: the government wanted to push through two major pieces of legislation, and avoid pressure on a few other issues.

The first was legislation to create a “Future Drought Fund”, which did end up passing the House of Representatives. The bill essentially means that the government will put aside $3.9 million to draw on when there is another drought, with additional money added to the fund over time. So far it is not clear what the money will be spent on (when the time comes) but farmers are just relieved that steps are being taken to help out in the next drought, even if not much can be done during the current drought. The Labor Party is willing to support the Future Drought Fund but they’re slightly concerned over where the money will be drawn from or what the money will be spent on.

The other legislation involves foreign fighters (mostly those who went to Syria), and whether they or their stranded families should be temporarily banned from entering the country, despite the fact many of these people are citizens. While many in parliament agree that they do support the temporary bans, based on legislation in force in the UK, there is disagreement over who should have the powers.

Despite a joint committee recommending that the bans be fully overseen by a retired judge – a model the Labor Party supports – the government has decided the powers should be held by Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton, and later reviewed by a retired judge. The Opposition is wary to give all the power to Dutton – as are many others. With Labor not agreeing in full, or having concerns with both pieces of legislation, the government has been painting them as “not on the right side”, with many government ministers saying in interviews this week that Labor needed to “decide whose side they’re on”.

The Labor Party is mostly unperturbed by this criticism, with suggestions that the government is using Labor’s relatively reasonable concerns as a wedge issue to distract from the internal divisions on other concerns. There are divisions amongst not only the right and left factions of the Liberal Party, but also between the Liberals and their coalition partners, the Nationals, mostly on the topic of a welfare payment for job seekers known as “Newstart”.

It appears that many Nationals MPs would like to see an increase to Newstart as many of their constituents on the welfare payment are struggling, especially as the drought continues to take hold. Barnaby Joyce’s is an unlikely supporter of a rise in Newstart, sparked by his recent epiphany that if he’s struggling to support two families (the family he had with his ex-wife and the family he has now with former staffer Vicki Campion) on just over $200,000, then he can’t imagine how hard it is to keep afloat on just under $300 a week.

The problem here is that the government, and to a lesser extent, the Opposition are reluctant to make this much-needed increase to Newstart until revenue levels are certain and there is a guarantee that a budget surplus can be delivered this financial year. This infatuation with a surplus is worrying – the fact that the government is so desperate to have a surplus on their record means that many important and vital that will improve the quality of life for many Australians are being delayed or ignored.

On the topic of welfare, it seems that the Centrelink robo-debt system is getting out of hand. In the last two weeks stories have emerged regarding the robo-debt system. In one case, an elderly man on the aged pension for the last 20 years, who himself admits that he is “obsessive” in updating his income to Centrelink, was told he had a debt of $67 from 1998. He was determined to clear his name because he was so convinced that he did not have a debt, and went to a great deal of trouble to do so. Despite calling Centrelink multiple times, he was unsuccessful until the ABC contacted Centrelink to ask them about his debt for their news story.

In a second case, Anastasia McCardel, the mother of Bruce McCardel, a man who died in November last year, was sent a letter from Centrelink claiming Bruce had an almost $6,750 debt, and then another letter thanking him for checking his income information. Ms McCardel said that she knew Bruce was very careful with his Centrelink information, and was unlikely to be in debt, and was also unsure how he could have checked his income information if he was dead. Again, it was only when the ABC broadcast the story that the debt was waived, and this time the Minister for Government Services, Stuart Robert, delivered the apology.

Moving on, a forensic accountant from the University of Sydney has looked into Adani’s reports to ASIC and has found that Adani is potentially operating insolvent. Adani does not have enough money to cover its upcoming costs, and the accountant argues they shouldn’t be operating at all – especially given operating insolvent is illegal. However, it appears that auditors signed off in it as “a going concern” as Adani have said that their parent company will pay for the costs that they encounter until they actually start mining the coal in the mine that they’re currently building. However, if Adani does go out of business, it is likely that their parent company, who is basically loaning the money to pay for all the mine preparations, will be the first creditor in line.

The Liberal Party’s culture is under the spotlight again, after allegations that the party has not done enough to help two female staffers who allege that they were sexually assaulted by their male colleagues. One of the women is a federal staffer and the other is a staffer for the Victorian Liberals, and they say their complaints fell on deaf ears. The official line from the Liberal Cabinet was that they should go to the police. That combined with the announcement that there will be a national Code of Conduct for Liberal MPs and Senators, following the review into the spill that installed Scott Morrison in August last year. Part of the review looked into claims from female MPs that they had been bullied into signing the spill motion petition – which is why the code of conduct has been introduced.

Meanwhile, Oliver Yates, a Kooyong candidate that lost to Josh Frydenberg, and an elector in the seat of Banks have taken legal action in the Court of Disputed Returns. They’re arguing that some posters put up on election day by the Liberal Party at polling places in both seats were misleading. The posters, which were written in Chinese, said that the ‘correct way to vote is to put a ‘1’ next to the Liberal candidate’. These posters were in the AEC’s colours of purple and white and were placed next to official AEC signage, such as the “Polling Place Here” signs.

The argument is that these posters were misleading, as they looked like official AEC signage (except for a teeny tiny notice at the bottom that said it was a Liberal Party sign). Furthermore, there was a concern that voters in Kooyong and Banks who are of Chinese descent (there’s quite a few of them), who might be new to voting in Australia and how the process works, might have thought that the AEC was telling you the “right” way to vote.

In another court case during the fortnight, lawyers for the ABC were in court to argue that the information, documents and other evidence that was taken during the raids on the broadcaster a few months ago should not be unsealed. Other than the fact that the warrant for the raid was signed off on by a Local Court registrar, the ABC’s barrister Matt Collins argued that the warrant was “legally unreasonable”, “excessively broad” and “misstated the terms of the suspected offences”. Collins argued that the stories, known as the Afghan Files, were in the public interest and that the journalist who published them, Dan Oakes, also had the right to protect his sources. A lawyer has publically admitted to being the source of the leaks, even before the raids, which Collins also drew attention to saying it was extraordinary that the AFP’s response to that fact, when mentioned in a press conference, suggested that they thought the lawyer might’ve been lying.

The Garma Festival also took place, with Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese, Minister for Indigenous Australians Ken Wyatt, and Governor-General David Hurley in attendance. All three called for the Indigenous community to rally behind the constitutional recognition referendum that will occur in three years, reminding them that almost no referendum defeated in Australia’s 120-ish year history has ever been resurrected.

Finally this week, Amber Holt, the woman who attempted to egg Scott Morrison during the election has been sentenced to community service and a good behaviour bond; and Labor is pressuring the government to ban Raheem Kassan from entering the country to speak at a right-wing political conference that will also include Tony Abbott, Nigel Farage, Mark Latham and Senator Amanda Stoker as speakers.

Tweet of the Week

 

The Two Weeks That Were – July 7 to July 20

During the past two weeks, parliament didn’t sit at all, so things were a little quieter – but politicians still did things.

For example, Scott Morrison spoke and prayed at the Hillsong Conference, the annual conference the Pentecostal church hosts in Sydney and London. This was a further show of Morrison’s faith, something that has become part of his image since he ascended to the Prime Ministership. Other than the fact that during his prayer he spoke of Australians needing “more love” (whatever that is supposed to mean), he also spoke a little on enshrining religious freedoms in Australia.

This is somewhat concerning. While Attorney-General Christian Porter and Morrison seem to be on a similar page of a smaller, universally respectful addition to the Anti-Discrimination Act, there are some ultra-conservatives, like Concetta Fierravant-Wells, who have been emboldened by the recent Israel Folau drama – and are pushing for something that appears to be more in the vein of protecting only Christian freedoms.

Scott Morrison also spent time in Dubbo and other parts of regional Australia affected by drought, touting a future fund for droughts that he wants to introduce to parliament when it goes back. It was originally introduced before the election, but Labor was concerned that it would divert money from infrastructure funding that they saw as more important. However, regardless of the politics, farmers just want concrete plans and insight into what the government is going to do to help them during this drought and into the future.

Meanwhile, Minister for Indigenous Australians, Ken Wyatt, has announced that within the term of this government (so, basically in the next three years), there will be a referendum for Indigenous recognition in the constitution. Many advocates are pleased about this development but concerned still about how the “voice to parliament” – another aspect of reconciliation that they feel is important – has not been fully addressed. Some of this is because the government is still hugely divided on the issue. This is because some of the less, shall we say, enlightened members of our parliament are worried that the “voice to parliament” will become a third house of parliament if enshrined in the constitution.

The Government also lowered the “deeming rate” in the past fortnight, which is the amount that the government assumes those on part pensions are earning from their investments and other incomes. This means that couples who rely partially on the aged pension will be around $1000 better off and a single person on the part pension will be around $800 better off. There are questions as to why the deeming rate is decided by the government and not by and independent body or decided on a case-by-case basis depending on how much pensioners actually earn.

The Aged Care Royal commission has been in North Queensland for the last fortnight hearing stories of poor treatment and some shocking information on some of the challenges chefs in aged care facilities face. Chefs say that they have been required to cook meals for residents for $7 per person, per day, with the emphasis on saving money. Cooks claimed that they watched residents waste away as they weren’t getting enough food and that they sometimes had to cook rancid food or reuse uneaten food. Maggie Beer, who is a chef and also has a foundation to improve elderly eating habits says that the evidence is shocking and that $7 per person, per day, is not enough money to provide food for the elderly that not only tastes good but is also nutritious.

Finally this week, Alek Sigley, who was released from North Korea earlier in the month has been accused of spying by the DPRK – and that they let him go on “humanitarian” grounds; and Australia and the United States have held military exercises – known as “Talisman Sabre” – while being monitored by the Chinese navy, who’ve sent a ship to lurk just outside Australia’s territorial waters, but within our maritime economic zone

Tweet of the Week

Behind the scenes on ABC’s Insiders.

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

Kate McClymont on Israel Folau’s faith and current church – SMH

Are Donald Trump’s racist tweets some sort of campaign strategy? – ABC Online

The Week That Was – June 30 to July 6

This week was the start of the 46th Parliament. So members were sworn in en masse and legislation being pushed through, but first, the new Governor-General, General David Hurley, was sworn in – Hurley’s first words as Governor-General were in the language of the Ngunnawal people, whose land encompasses Canberra.

Once all the politicians were sworn in, the government got to work on getting their legislation passed through the House of Representatives and the Senate. The government’s primary focus this week has been the tax cuts that it promised in both the Budget back in April and during the election campaign. With a majority in the lower house, the tax cuts passed easily. However once in the Senate, the government still had to negotiate with the crossbench, and it seems that the government has found a bloc of senators to make deals with that doesn’t involve Pauline Hanson and her One Nation Party. Instead, for this legislation, the government has Cory Bernardi, who thinks tax cuts are awesome, two Centre Alliance Senators – who have been promised changes to the pricing and exports of natural gas – and Jacqui Lambie (yep, she’s back) who has been promised that certain subsided housing debts will be waived.

Labor did, in the end, support the tax cuts too, but they really only support the first round of cuts for low and middle-income earners. They’re not too excited about the changes coming in 2022 which will decrease the tax rate for those on incomes between $46,000 and $200,000 to 30 cents in the dollar. However, there’s a suggestion that should they win the 2022 election they might repeal that second round of tax cuts.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates to a record low of 1% this week, and economists expect there to be at least one more rate cut by the end of the year – not so great for those investing and saving, but pretty awesome for those who are borrowing. Part of the reason that the Reserve Bank continues to drop the interest rate is that they are concerned about the economy. The RBA wants to see unemployment rates drop to 4.5% (but actual higher-paying jobs, not minimum-wage service jobs), and more infrastructure investment. As it turns out, New South Wales is setting the example, with the government investing in public transport infrastructure, creating jobs and boosting the NSW economy.

The federal government seems reluctant to do this, and it seems to be because they desperately want to deliver a surplus this financial year. Economist Tim Harcourt, a Fellow at UNSW and an advisor to the South Australia Government, has suggested the economy could be negatively affected by the government’s “surplus fetish” – saying on ABC News that it is actually perfectly normal and okay for there to be a budget deficit when the economy is slowing down. This “surplus fetish” (which is now my new favourite phrase), is also the reason that the aforementioned second round of tax cuts isn’t happening until 2022.

This week also saw terror arrests in Western Sydney, which foiled a plot to attack “Sydney landmarks” – as they caught their suspects before they decided on a concrete target. This now makes 16 plots that the AFP and their state counterparts have foiled. The thing that surprised me this week about the whole thing is that the Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton decided to tell Australians “that the threat is not diminished” and not going away. Why not applaud the AFP and the other agencies that have worked hard to prevent these potential attacks?

Finally this week, Australian Alek Sigley, who was living in North Korea, was released from detention in the DPRK and reunited with his family, leading the government and the opposition to tell Australians going to North Korea is not necessarily a good idea; and the indigenous site of Budj Bim has been recognised as a World Heritage Site.

Tweet of the Week

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

RBA Governor Philip Lowe wants the government to stimulate the economy – ABC Online

Hong Kong’s future generation was always going to rebel against China – ABC Online

The Week That Was – June 9 to June 15

It’s been a while since my notes have said “No politics” on more than one day! This mostly has to do with the fact that the country and the government are waiting for the results of the Senate count to be finalised, and there seems to be only one seat left in doubt, so it should not be long now. Once that happens, it’ll be back to politics all day, every day.

Monday was the Queen’s Birthday Holiday, and so came the Queen’s Birthday Honours. Father-daughter duo Jade and Paul Hameister, who completed the exploration known as “Polar Hat Trick” (North Pole, Greenland and the South Pole) together have received a Medal of the Order of Australia (OAM). Leigh Sales, Eric Bana and Elizabeth Chong, among others have become Members of the Order of Australia (AM). Former senator and anti-domestic violence activist Natasha Stott Despoja is now an Officer of the Order of Australia (AO); and former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, actor Hugh Jackman and ABC Chairwoman Ita Buttrose have received the highest honour, becoming Companions of the Order of Australia (AC). You can see the full list here.

It was revealed this week that the Home Affairs Department’s Secretary Mike Pezzullo called Centre Alliance Senator Rex Patrick after he said that the department and the Home Affairs Minister “hate media scrutiny” in a press release put out after least week’s raids on News Corp journalist Annika Smethurst and the ABC’s Sydney headquarters. Pezzullo allegedly called Patrick to ‘correct the record’ – which has concerned both Peter Dutton and the Prime Minister Scott Morrison. Morrison and Dutton have both said that the call concerns them, and they have advised Pezzullo that he really shouldn’t contact senators personally, even if Pezzullo thinks they’re wrong.

This week also saw drama amongst the unions, after CFMEU boss John Setka was accused of saying that anti-domestic violence campaigner Rosie Batty was infringing on men’s rights at a union meeting. Setka denies he said anything of the sort, and two other union bosses who were present at the meeting, the West Australian Secretary of the Maritime Union, Christy Cain and ACTU President Sally McManus have backed Setka up on that fact. However, Setka is not well-liked by some in the union movement and many conservative politicians and regular people, and McManus has urged Setka to step down, while federal Labor leader Anthony Albanese has requested that Setka be booted from the party, but Setka appears to be holding firm for the moment.

Adani’s new Queensland mine has passed another environmental assessment, which now means that Adani can start to build their mine. This has made many regional Queensland MPs, mayors and residents very happy, as there is promise of jobs – even though the number keeps changing. Environmentalists, on the other hand, are unimpressed, especially given that the Queensland government has given Adani a huge concession on their water management plan, that was off the table before.

Finally, this week the country farewelled former Prime Minister Bob Hawke, who died last month, at a National Memorial Service. Many former Prime Ministers, and former and current Labor figures attended the memorial along with Hawke’s family and members of the general public.

Tweet of the Week

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

The Good Priest (who does CrossFit) – ABC Online

WA Liberals have their first female leader in Liza Harvey – ABC Online

 

The Week That Was – June 2 to June 8

The first few weeks after an election are usually relatively quiet as people get themselves organised in their new portfolios. This week was going that way, until the Australian Federal Police (AFP) raided the home of News Corp Journalist Annika Smethurst, and then the Headquarters of the ABC, as part of two unrelated national security investigations.

Annika Smethurst’s home was raided after she revealed that the Australian Signals Directorate (Australia’s national surveillance agency) was seeking to increase their powers to be able to spy on Australians without their knowledge. Smethurst was quickly joined by News Corp lawyers as the AFP went through her home. Smethurst revealed that the AFP was so thorough that officers found things she forgot she even had and even went through her underwear drawer (this was reported in The Australian, but I can’t link it as it’s now behind a paywall).

The ABC was raided over their revelations in 2017 about incidents between civilians and the Australian Army in Afghanistan – known as the ‘Afghan Files’ – allegedly because discussions between the AFP and the ABC’s legal team ‘broke down’, something the ABC’s lawyers deny. Senior ABC news executives defended the ABC with news boss Gaven Morris and Editorial Director Craig McMurtrie saying that the ABC will continue to report the news that is in the public interest, while ABC Chairwoman Ita Buttrose declared that the raids were “clearly designed to intimidate” the ABC, News Corp and whistleblowers.

International media outlets including the BBC and CNN have reported on the raids, and also declared their support for a free press in Australia. As it happens, Australia has some of the weakest whistleblower protection legislation compared to the UK, USA and some European nations. Prime Minister Scott Morrison said that he supported the AFP’s actions, as they were acting within the legislation. However, he has also suggested the government might review the legislation.

Meanwhile, Morrison and his wife Jenny went on a whirlwind diplomatic trip to the Solomon Islands, United Kingdom and Singapore. In the Solomon Islands, one of the few nations that still recognises Taiwan (Under the PRC’s “One China Policy” you either recognise and have diplomatic relations with the People’s Republic of China (China) or the Republic of China (Taiwan) as a legitimate nation, not both), Morrison announced a change to aid funding that provides aid funding for health, education and national security, while also countering the PRC’s influence.

Morrison then travelled onto the UK, where he met Queen Elizabeth II (which was probably a far more pleasant meeting for her than the one she had with Trump earlier in the week), and attended the 75th Anniversary D-Day Commemorations. Morrison then travelled onto Singapore on the way home to Australia.

Anthony Albanese announced his shadow cabinet this week, which has 12 men and 12 women. Former opposition leader Bill Shorten will be the Minister for the NDIS and Government Services, while several of Shorten’s shadow cabinet have remained in their roles, including Tanya Plibersek, Penny Wong, Richard Marles (with added Deputy Leadership) and Mark Butler.

There has also been a slight “pass the portfolio” act amongst some of the other members of Shorten’s last shadow cabinet – Jim Chalmers will be Shadow Treasurer, taking the role from Chris Bowen, who has the health portfolio. Bowen has taken the health portfolio from Catherine King, who is now Shadow Minister for Infrastructure and Transport. Tony Burke keeps his Arts portfolio and his Manager of Opposition Business in the House, but passes on the Environment portfolio, and takes up Industrial Relations.

Burke’s Environment portfolio now goes to Terri Butler, a new addition to Shadow Cabinet, along with Katy Gallagher who becomes Shadow Finance Minister, Madeleine King who is to be Shadow Trade Minister and Kristina Keneally, who will take up the Home Affairs and Immigration portfolios, alongside her Deputy Senate Leader Role.

Peter Dutton has decided that Keneally’s elevation to be his jousting partner on Home Affairs is a bad idea because, he says, she is the least qualified person to do it. Dutton says that Keneally doesn’t believe in turning asylum seeker boats back – but given Albanese basically said they would keep the government’s policy, I think that’s probably not going to be much of an issue. In some ways, I think Dutton might be a teensy bit nervous about Keneally.

Also this week, Sydney received a (not so) surprise visit from the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy, as three warships pulled into Garden Island to restock and give some naval personnel some shore leave. It turns out, while the trip was a surprise to the majority of the Australian population, the government did know the Chinese Navy was coming, as they asked for permission about two months ago. However, there is also concern over the timing, highlighted by government senator Concetta Fierravanti-Wells, as they arrived on the eve of June 4th, which is the 30th Anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Massacre.

Finally this week, there seems to be a disconnect between what the government and what the experts are saying about the Australian economy. The government has been touting their superior economic management and the fact that the economy is growing under them. While the latter point is essentially true, the fact is that the economic growth rate is very slow.

This slow growth in the economy and the added concern of rising unemployment has resulted in the Reserve Bank cutting interest rates for the first time in nearly three years to a record low of 1.25%. There are suggestions that interest rates could be cut frequently over the next 12 months and many economists are urging the government to spend some money to stimulate the economy – which if the government were “good economic managers” as they call themselves, you’d think they wouldn’t need to do. But then again, economics is not my strong suit so I could be wrong there.

Tweets of the Week

As the Smethurst/ABC raids inundated the news cycle, that’s what most of the tweets are about….

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

ABC’s Head of Investigative Journalism John Lyons tweeted the AFP raid – ABC Online

Tom Iggulden on Labor’s Sliding Doors moment between Albo and Shorten – ABC Online

How climbs on Mount Everest can end so badly – ABC Online 

The Two Weeks That Were – May 19 to June 1

Well that was certainly not the result the country expected!

The election result was a bit of a shock, with government being returned with a slightly more solid majority than 2016. There was an epic swing toward the Coalition in Queensland, where it seems Labor’s lack of a concrete position on the Adani mine was their downfall. There has been calls from those south of the Queensland border that have suggested that the Sunshine State should secede, but I think they’re (mostly) joking. Regardless, Morrison appears to have pulled off a massive victory, and this gives him great authority.

Tony Abbott did lose his seat of Warringah this election, much to the joy of many both in the electorate and out of it. This will likely make the government more stable this time around, as both of Morrison’s predecessors, Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull, are no longer in Parliament. However, Kerryn Phelps has lost her seat of Wentworth to Dave Sharma, whom she defeated in last October’s by-election.

The Prime Minister then spent some time forming his new cabinet – which can now be fully his own. In order to keep stability when he took the reins last August, Morrison left most ministers and assistant ministers where they were, but now he can rearrange the ministry however he pleases. Frydenberg, Payne and Dutton were thought to keep their positions, and they have.

The cabinet now has seven women, including Melissa Price, who spent most of her time as Environment Minister in hiding (or so it seemed). Price will no longer be Environment Minister though, as she is moving to the Defence Industry portfolio. This is essentially a demotion to the outer ministry, while Sussan Ley has been reappointed to the inner ministry in the Environment portfolio. We will also see two Senators leave in the next six months, with Arthur Sinodinos heading to Washington DC to become the next Ambassador to the United States, once Joe Hockey’s term ends, and Mitch Fifield will head to New York to become the next Ambassador to the United Nations.

The government has also appointed Ken Wyatt as Minister for Indigenous Australians, the first Indigenous person to be appointed to the role. Many people in the indigenous community are happy to have one of their own responsible for the policies that affect them. However there seems to be confusion regarding how constitutional recognition and the “voice to parliament” that the indigenous community. The Prime Minister has announced a new agency within the Indigenous Affairs portfolio, and while information is sparse, there is concern that its purpose is to trump the plans for the “voice to parliament” – which is touted as an elected advisory body to Parliament, but some conservatives seem to see it as a third house of Parliament, which is not the case.

The government also plans to introduce their promised tax cuts as soon as possible, however they’ve kind of reneged on one of their promises already, which was to try get the legislation through before the start of the new financial year on July 1. This is because there is still at least one seat to be declared, as the seat of Macquarie is now so marginal they’re counting all of the preferences – earlier in the count there were less than 100 votes separating the Labor and Liberal candidates, but as of writing, Labor has pulled ahead by 282 votes.

Speaking of Labor, after their shock loss, Bill Shorten stepped down as leader, but has decided to remain in Parliament as an MP. The leadership race began, with Anthony Albanese (aka Albo) throwing his hat in ring. Tanya Plibersek considered running, as did Jim Chalmers and Chris Bowen, however all three decided not to, and Albanese was nominated unopposed, leading to the least bloody leadership battle the Labor Party has seen in a decade. As Albanese is from NSW and is from the left faction of the party, his deputy must be from another state and from the right faction – Richard Marles and Clare O’Neill both considered running, however O’Neill decided to step aside in the end, leaving Marles as the only contender.

All of this bloodless change was somewhat tainted when factional drama arose over who would be in Shadow Cabinet. Albanese had made clear publicly that he wished to have Senator Kristina Keneally in his cabinet, however it took a bit of drama to get there – and this is going to require a bit of explanation. In the Labor Party, in order to keep things equal and even between the left and right factions each side hands over a list of people to be in Shadow Cabinet and the leader chooses the positions each gets. However, the right faction’s list did not have Kristina Keneally’s name on it, let alone the name of any woman. So Ed Husic decided to give his spot to Keneally, allowing the former NSW Premier to be in the cabinet, and she will now be Deputy Leader in the Senate and will likely get a high ranking ministry.

Finally this week, Papua New Guinea has a new Prime Minister, which may have implications for the resettlement of refugees on Manus Island; and the Adani Coal Mine has passed another hurdle on the path to being approved. The Queensland Government has approved Adani’s conservation and protection plan for the Black Throated Finch.

Tweet of the Fortnight

https://twitter.com/shauncrowe/status/1133627072025260032

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

So, how do we pronounce Albo’s name then? – ABC Online

What challenges does Ken Wyatt face as Indigenous Affairs Minister? – ABC Online

 

The Promise of Australia, Voting for Change and Vale Bob Hawke

The last week of the campaign began with the Liberal Party’s official campaign launch, where Scott Morrison’s mother, wife and two daughters introduced him to the stage. It was mostly the “ScoMo Show”, although we did get a glimpse of the front bench in the audience, including the Environment Minister Melissa Price, who seems to have been let out of wherever she was being hidden for the bulk of the campaign. The policies announced at the launch included money for post-natal healthcare, and a subsidy for first homebuyers to help them make up the 20% deposit required to buy a home.

Morrison used the oft-used campaign slogan of “The Bill you can’t afford”, and then it got a tad weird because he has (or the spin doctors have) created a new slogan. Scott Morrison said he was going to “keep the promise of Australia for all Australians” – which left most of my household asking “what the f*** does that even mean?”. Labor on the other hand had a mostly low-key day, trying not to distract from the Liberal launch too much, although they did decide that the Liberal plan to subsidise deposits for first home buyers was a cool idea and adopted it.

Much of the week was dedicated to reiterating and explaining policies that have already been announced – basically ensuring that everyone knows what policies are on offer – although there was a push from Labor on wages and how they were going to try and increase them if they got into power.

A lot of the focus switched to the key battleground seats across the country. In NSW (where I am from) all eyes were some seats in Sydney: Reid, Lindsay, Bennelong and Warringah. We saw this week just how worried Tony Abbott is for his political life, as he had John Howard join him when he went campaigning around the local shopping centre saying he might just win, and the citizens of Warringah (including my grandmother) have been bombarded with robo-calls, texts and various political pamphlets from the Liberals.

It seems that many voters in Warringah want change. Abbott has been in the seat for 25 years and for the first time there is a suitable alternative in the form of Zali Steggall. She is a moderate conservative, but on some social issues is more progressive, especially on climate change and same sex marriage and this position more accurately represents the electorate.

Meanwhile, former PM Paul Keating (and his unique way with words) made another venture into campaign waters, encouraging the voters of Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson to “drive a political stake through his dark political heart”. Dutton, somewhat rightfully, was offended by the remarks, and responded by saying that part of the reason he had joined the Liberal party was because Keating’s economic reforms and “mismanagement” nearly ruined his dad’s business.

Also this week, it was revealed that there has been a record number of pre-poll votes cast this election. Somewhere in the region of four million people voted early, which means that it could be a while before we know the results in some key marginal seats, as the ballot boxes can’t be opened until 6pm on election day. This high number of pre-poll votes is a concern, as it does delay the results in some seats, however the AEC has said that there is a parliamentary review slated once the election is over that will look into the pre-poll process.

Finally this week, former Prime Minister Bob Hawke has passed away at the age of 89. The former Labor PM, famous for introducing Medicare and introducing economic reforms (with his Treasurer Paul Keating) that has helped Australia avoid a recession for over 25 years. Hawke’s death distracted from the final day in the campaign, especially for Labor, as Bill Shorten changed his plans and went to visit Hawke’s widow Blanche D’Alpuget.

Then it was election day.

Tweet of the Week

Antony Green!

https://twitter.com/leighsales/status/1129202586660220930

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

The rise of the “religious left” – ABC Online

Politicians need a better understanding of Chinese-Australian voters – ABC Online

 

As the finish line nears, Bill Shorten appears relatable and ScoMo gets egged (almost).

The week began with the Labor Party’s campaign launch in Western Sydney, with former Prime Ministers Paul Keating, Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard putting aside their dramas to attend, along with a large majority of the Labor team. The party opted to have Penny Wong speak about the problems Labor sees with the current government and Tanya Plibersek spoke on Labor’s virtues and values.

The Opposition reiterated their policies on climate change, wage growth and health, along with several new promises – $200 million for youth mental health, $500 million for hospital emergency department upgrades, and tax credits for companies that hire under-25s and over-55s.

The only spanner in the works on launch day was Paul Keating. He started by surprising the ABC’s Andrew Probyn and Jane Nicholson who were hosting coverage from the launch:

Keating, who is famous for his use of words over the years (see here), then proceeded to call Scott Morrison “a fossil with a baseball cap”, and suggest that government security agencies were going “berko” over China. The latter statement gave the government something to grab onto to use against Labor regarding embracing China too openly – which sort of distracted from Labor policies during the week because people kept asking if the Labor front bench agreed with him.

The Labor Party also had Bill Shorten’s wife Chloe introduce him at the launch, where she talked about how wonderful Bill is as a human being – but a pretty terrible dancer (a reference to his “dad dancing” in Kiribati).  The aim of Chloe’s speech was to improve Shorten’s personal popularity, and that combined with some luck and the ability to capitalise upon in late in the week has shown Shorten to be far more relatable and human than he has been in the past.

Bill Shorten then appeared on Q&A on the ABC on Monday night by himself – Scott Morrison declined to attend, and opted to be interviewed on ABC 7:30 instead – allowing Shorten a further chance to speak about his values and policies. It also allowed him to make a few jokes and show his sense of humour. If you have a spare 70-80 minutes before the election, I recommend you watch the episode either on iView or below:

Whatever media or public speaking training Bill Shorten has had over the last 3-6 years has worked pretty well and it shows. He sounds like a reasonable, sensible human being and he’s explaining a lot of his policies in a very measured manner, treating the voters like intelligent humans. The humour at the Q&A appearance helped Shorten seem more personable and it makes a refreshing change from some of what we have seen with the government recently.

During the program he spoke about his mother and how she hadn’t been able to study law when she finished high school as she’d wanted. Instead she earned a scholarship to study education, and had stuck with it and she was able to provide for Bill and his siblings as children – the gist essentially was that Ann Shorten didn’t get all the opportunities because she was working class and Bill Shorten wants to make all opportunities available to all.

On Wednesday, the Daily Telegraph in Sydney published a story that implied that Bill Shorten had made up things or lied about his mother on the Monday Q&A appearance. As you would imagine, Shorten was very upset and in a press conference defending his mother, he cried in public.

This has served to make Bill Shorten appear even more ‘normal’, for want of a better word, as this show of emotion is something not really ever seen with Shorten in the past.

Scott Morrison also said that the Telegraph’s story was unfair, and there have again been calls to leave the parents, children and other family members of candidates out of the spotlight in campaigns – unless they are there willingly as part of the campaign, like Bill’s wife Chloe.

Scott Morrison and the government kept Sunday pretty low-key because of Labor’s launch but did announce money for e-Safety and anti-cyberbullying programs, as well as promising to increase prison time for those who abuse people online.

The week became a bit interesting for Morrison when he was the victim of an attempted egging while at a Country Women’s Association (CWA) event. A 24-year-old woman tried to egg Morrison’s head, but missed. Morrison’s security arrested the woman, and in the kerfuffle, knocked over an elderly CWA member at the event. Morrison assisted the member to her feet and checked she was alright, while the CWA ladies watched the young woman get taken away by security and police, with some telling her she was a “silly girl”. Morrison was unfazed by the incident, brushing it off by saying that the CWA knows what to do with eggs, and Bill Shorten has condemned the egging and any type of violence during an election campaign.

There was a third debate this week at the National Press Club, and it was an experimental model that the Press Club had never tried before. There was only one moderator – the Press Club’s President Sabra Lane – and the audience was made up of equal numbers of Coalition and Labor supporters, who asked the questions.

After weeks and weeks of nagging Labor has, in their own time, revealed the costings for their policies. Chris Bowen and Jim Chalmers presented the policy costings, which showed how much Labor intends to raise through tax changes and how they intend to spend taxpayer money while still maintaining a surplus over the next few years. Matthias Cormann and Josh Frydenberg were dispatched to rebut the costings, but all they could seem to come up with was “it’s a con job” and “Labor deception”, which does suggest to me that the Coalition is panicking a bit on how to deal with the reasoned and measured approach Labor is taking.

Other than the Keating issue Labor is having a little bit of trouble this week with tax policy as some on the right-wing of politics are suggesting that Labor will bring in a “Death Tax” at the behest of the Greens if they win the election. This is despite the consistent denials of Bill Shorten, Chris Bowen, Anthony Albanese and many other Labor figures. This non-existent policy that the right is trying to scare people with just won’t die (if there is a pun in that, it is totally intended) and it’s another distraction that is beginning to frustrate the Labor party a bit – there are a limited number of ways to say “there will be no death tax” before you start to get annoyed.

Also this week, Kerryn Phelps called in the Australian Federal Police after an email was circulated suggesting Phelps was pulling out of the race because she had been found ineligible to run in the seat under section 44. The email suggests that because she is Jewish, she has the right to Israeli citizenship. There are two key facts that prove this email wrong. First, while being Jewish makes you eligible to be an Israeli citizen, you do have to express a desire to do so and get a special visa (which she hasn’t done), or have parents who were Israeli citizens, the latter of which Phelps doesn’t have as she is a convert. Second, there are several other Jewish candidates and MPs, including Josh Frydenberg, Mark Dreyfus and Phelps’ opponent Dave Sharma, and they haven’t had problems with section 44 in regards to Israeli citizenship.

Finally this week, the Aged Care Royal Commission has been hearing evidence about the treatment of nursing home residents with dementia, and the evidence so far hasnt been pleasant. There are allegations that one patient’s dentures were left in her mouth for weeks, and that a patient was given such a high dose of anti-depressants that they were unresponsive to family when they came to visit on the patient’s birthday.

Before I go, interest rates stayed the same, although the word on the street is that they might be cut in the next few months, making people think the only reason they didn’t cut them this month is because of the election campaign.

Don’t forget to vote on May 18!

Tweets of the Week

https://twitter.com/MrsDzTB/status/1126681842319364096

What do you do when you’re an independent with limited resources – an interpretive dance:

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

Vote Compass results on penalty rates and the minimum wage – ABC Online

Could America get a gay president in 2020? – ABC Online

Laura Tingle on the differences between the Labor and Coalition campaigns – ABC Online

Debates, Policy Nitpicking and now the Candidates are Dropping Like Flies

With the public holidays now out of the way, the election campaign is finally gaining some steam and things are happening.

You may remember from last week, there was an anti-Adani convoy driving around Queensland and they’d arrived in a town that was fairly pro-coal mining. Well, in the early part of this week, while camped near the town there were reports of gunshots in the area. Even more shocking, during one of their rallies a man on horseback came tearing through the crowns and ended up knocking over a woman and injuring her. Organisers, including Bob Brown are very concerned about these actions, but they’re also somewhat relieved that more people weren’t injured, especially as there were children travelling with their parents on this convoy.

Meanwhile, people are trying to get clarity on Labor’s Early Childhood policies. Labor wants to increase the subsidies for parents sending their children to childcare, making it free for low-income earners and increasing the rebates for those on higher incomes. Labor has also said they will increase the income of Early Childhood Educators by 20%, apparently using taxpayer money. There will be no difference between the private and the public childcare centres however there are some questions over whether government intervention might stop private providers from raising their employees’ wages of their own volition. Labor says that it won’t finalise everything until they’re in government and they’ve consulted with everyone.

There were two debates this week, one on Monday in Western Australia aired on a Seven Network multichannel and the second later in the week aired on Sky News (a pay TV channel). Bill Shorten won the audience in both debates, which suggests his 80 or so “town hall” style events have also served as good practice for explaining things.

The second debate also gave us this moment:

Tanya Plibersek called it Morrison’s “Mark Latham Moment” – a flashback to the 2004 election and the rather aggressive handshake then Labor Leader Mark Latham (who is now a One Nation MLC in NSW) gave John Howard after leaving a radio studio that Howard was about to enter.

There have been a few things that have become apparent during these leaders’ debates. First, the government really has painted itself into a corner on their campaign points – all they appear to have is economic management and an anti-Labor sentiment, while the Labor party appears to have this war chest of promises, offers and policies. ABC Political Editor Andrew Probyn has suggested that the government’s campaign appears hollow and that they need to start inspiring voters rather than scaring them.

Second, the Labor party does need to be more clear on some of their policies. More than once, Labor has had to clarify a policy, and they are constantly questioned on the cost of some of their other policies. Now, as the Opposition, they do get cut a bit of slack when it comes to promises and their costs – but they have promised to release some costings in the next week.

Finally this week, eight candidates have either resigned or been disendorsed from their candidacies. It is now too late to replace any of them, and so they will still appear on the ballot paper. One Nation lost Steve Dickson over inappropriate behaviour at a strip club while on the infamous NRA trip to the USA. Al Jazeera, who put together the NRA sting say that the footage from the strip club was never part of the program because it wasn’t in the public interest. They also said that the footage from the strip club was aired without their permission. Regardless, Dickson is gone, along with another One Nation candidate Ross McDonald for inappropriate sexist Facebook posts.

Meanwhile Liberal candidates Jeremy Hearn, Peter Killin, Jessica Whelan have all resigned or been dumped for anti-Muslim and/or homophobic comments, and Labor candidates Luke Creasey and Wayne Kurnorth who have lost endorsement for sexist and anti-Semitic social media posts respectively. Finally the Katter’s Australia Party candidate for Dawson Brendan Bunyan has been disendorsed for comments that sort of cover all of the above. I’ll admit, Annabel Crabb’s election emails have helped me keep track of this, and you can sign up for the emails here.

Tweet of the Week

At the first debate, people were poking fun at the staging:

https://twitter.com/leachitup/status/1122789573082222592

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

If you haven’t done Vote Compass yet, give it a go – ABC Vote Compass

Vote Compass shows the key election split is now age, not left and right – ABC Online

Zoë Norton Lodge on winning your seat “like a man” – ABC Online