The Promise of Australia, Voting for Change and Vale Bob Hawke

The last week of the campaign began with the Liberal Party’s official campaign launch, where Scott Morrison’s mother, wife and two daughters introduced him to the stage. It was mostly the “ScoMo Show”, although we did get a glimpse of the front bench in the audience, including the Environment Minister Melissa Price, who seems to have been let out of wherever she was being hidden for the bulk of the campaign. The policies announced at the launch included money for post-natal healthcare, and a subsidy for first homebuyers to help them make up the 20% deposit required to buy a home.

Morrison used the oft-used campaign slogan of “The Bill you can’t afford”, and then it got a tad weird because he has (or the spin doctors have) created a new slogan. Scott Morrison said he was going to “keep the promise of Australia for all Australians” – which left most of my household asking “what the f*** does that even mean?”. Labor on the other hand had a mostly low-key day, trying not to distract from the Liberal launch too much, although they did decide that the Liberal plan to subsidise deposits for first home buyers was a cool idea and adopted it.

Much of the week was dedicated to reiterating and explaining policies that have already been announced – basically ensuring that everyone knows what policies are on offer – although there was a push from Labor on wages and how they were going to try and increase them if they got into power.

A lot of the focus switched to the key battleground seats across the country. In NSW (where I am from) all eyes were some seats in Sydney: Reid, Lindsay, Bennelong and Warringah. We saw this week just how worried Tony Abbott is for his political life, as he had John Howard join him when he went campaigning around the local shopping centre saying he might just win, and the citizens of Warringah (including my grandmother) have been bombarded with robo-calls, texts and various political pamphlets from the Liberals.

It seems that many voters in Warringah want change. Abbott has been in the seat for 25 years and for the first time there is a suitable alternative in the form of Zali Steggall. She is a moderate conservative, but on some social issues is more progressive, especially on climate change and same sex marriage and this position more accurately represents the electorate.

Meanwhile, former PM Paul Keating (and his unique way with words) made another venture into campaign waters, encouraging the voters of Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson to “drive a political stake through his dark political heart”. Dutton, somewhat rightfully, was offended by the remarks, and responded by saying that part of the reason he had joined the Liberal party was because Keating’s economic reforms and “mismanagement” nearly ruined his dad’s business.

Also this week, it was revealed that there has been a record number of pre-poll votes cast this election. Somewhere in the region of four million people voted early, which means that it could be a while before we know the results in some key marginal seats, as the ballot boxes can’t be opened until 6pm on election day. This high number of pre-poll votes is a concern, as it does delay the results in some seats, however the AEC has said that there is a parliamentary review slated once the election is over that will look into the pre-poll process.

Finally this week, former Prime Minister Bob Hawke has passed away at the age of 89. The former Labor PM, famous for introducing Medicare and introducing economic reforms (with his Treasurer Paul Keating) that has helped Australia avoid a recession for over 25 years. Hawke’s death distracted from the final day in the campaign, especially for Labor, as Bill Shorten changed his plans and went to visit Hawke’s widow Blanche D’Alpuget.

Then it was election day.

Tweet of the Week

Antony Green!

https://twitter.com/leighsales/status/1129202586660220930

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

The rise of the “religious left” – ABC Online

Politicians need a better understanding of Chinese-Australian voters – ABC Online

 

13 Things That Happened in the Last Three Weeks (January 20 to February 9)

I know, I know, I got behind again, and that isn’t great in an election year, but once everything gets back to normal at work, I’ll get back to regular programming…

  1. Australia Day was celebrated on the 26th of January, with various events across the country. The day was also mourned by Indigenous communities, with several “Change The Date” Rallies, attended by Indigenous leaders, political leaders and the general public.
  2. The election is likely to happen in May this year, and so the ‘pre-election revving’ (I call it this because it feels like race cars revving up before a race) has begun. Labor has been making promises on education and health; as well as subsidising swimming lessons for children. Meanwhile the Liberal party is promising to create 1.25 million jobs in five years, and are saying a Labor win at the election will lead to a recession – something a large portion of the electorate has not faced in their working lives – Labor just says it is scaremongering.
  3. The Liberals are also facing the resignations of two more current or former ministers since Kelly O’Dwyer announced she was leaving parliament to spend more time with her family. Michael Keenan will be leaving to also spend more time with family, while Nigel Scullion is retiring – and plans to go fishing a lot more often.
  4. The Liberal Party has had “Captain’s Call” with Scott Morrison parachuting Warren Mundine into the marginal seat of Gilmore on the NSW South Coast. Mundine is a former Labor President (yes, Labor, you did read that right) and he left the party recently after he felt they weren’t going in a direction he liked. He’s now a Liberal Party member. His parachute into the seat has left the originally pre-selected candidate Grant Schultz unimpressed. He’ll now run as an independent. The Nationals will also run a candidate in Gilmore, and a former NSW State Minister Katrina Hodgkinson will run for pre-selection.
  5. Former Olympic Skier and barrister Zali Steggall will run as an independent in Tony Abbott’s seat of Warringah. She’s fiscally conservative, but socially progressive and believes more should be dine for climate change. This is similar to Kerryn Phelps – and it’s believed some of those who worked on Phelps’ campaign are going to help Steggall. Julia Banks will also return to the campaigning at the next election – she won’t be contesting her marginal seat of Chisholm, but Greg Hunt’s seat of Flinders (as an independent)
  6. The My Health Record opt-out deadline was January 31 – so if you didn’t choose to opt out, you will have a record created for you. There were concerns about people’s private information being safe, and there are also concerns about how much information will be put on the records and which medical professionals can access them.
  7. In South Australia, a Royal Commission into the Murray-Darling Basin has reported back, with the Commissioner Bret Walker QC (a NSW jurist) saying that it appeared that the Murray-Darling Basin Authority was either “unwilling” or “incapable” of acting lawfully. He ruled that the water buyback levels were not chosen based on science but on what would make people happy with the Basin Authority. Walker has called for the Basin Plan to be overhauled completely and that water buybacks should take preference over efficiency measures. However it is unclear if any of the recommendations will be accepted or acted on.
  8. The Banking Royal Commission report was released, with Commissioner Kenneth Hayne making 76 recommendations, including banning cold-calling for insurance sales and banning commissions for financial advisers. Hayne also singled out the National Australia Bank (NAB), whose Board Chair Ken Henry, and CEO Andrew Thorburn quit at the end of the week the report was released.
  9. The government is trying to prevent a bill from passing that would allow the medical-evacuation of refugees from detention centres after assessment from two doctors. This would make transfer the decision-making from bureaucrats to medical professionals. This something that Kerryn Phelps, who brought the legislation to parliament, and Labor are supporting. This recently led the government to release classified information from intelligence agencies that suggested this legislation could be risky to National Security.
  10. Three years after the Federal Government took over the management of Norfolk Island, there are calls for a rethink. Most Norfolk Islanders did want more input and assistance from the Australian Government, but were expecting to go into negotiations for some kind of agreement rather than the full-on takeover that took place. There is now an Inquiry by human rights lawyers, including Geoffrey Robertson looking into whether there has been a breach of political and democratic human rights of Norfolk Islanders.
  11. Australia’s Parliament House was the target of a cyber attack recently, with suspicions falling on a foreign government actor, most likely China. It is unclear if anything was stolen during the attack, but the system hacked is used by thousands of politicians and their staff to share who is doing what, as well as dirt files and other sensitive information.
  12. Thailand is under pressure to release refugee Hakeem al-Arabi. He’s been living in Australia for nearly five years after fleeing Bahrain and was arrested on an incorrectly issued Interpol alert. Thailand doesn’t seem to budging, despite appeals from Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne and more recently the two Aussie Thai Cave rescue divers. They haven’t released the letter publicly but it is understood that they don’t expect this to be a quid-pro-quo thing, but rather hoped their voice would be taken into consideration.
  13. New South Wales is gearing up for a State Election on March 23 this year (lucky NSW are getting two elections in three months), and it looks like a tight race with a recent Newspoll result showing that the Coalition and Labor are neck-and-neck. There is a potential for a hung parliament, with One Nation and the Shooters Party agreeing not to run candidates in seats that the other party might be able to win, leading them to hold the balance of power.

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

The difficulty of acting on the Royal Commission’s recommendations – ABC Online

Mark Humphries is not a member of the Liberal Party.

The Week That Was – January 10 to January 16

This week saw the political machine whirr back into gear, with Bill Shorten touring marginal seats across the nation, campaigning against a rise in the GST. In one of these visits he was at supermarket asking a shopper what variety of lettuce they preferred, which lead to some frivolity with Triple J journalist Alice Workman desperately trying to find out which variety was Shorten’s favourite (you can tell we’re only in low gear at the moment).

https://twitter.com/workmanalice/status/687027060460486656

Shorten even played along, only to frustrate Workman further.

https://twitter.com/workmanalice/status/687049109484654592

The frivolity kind of stopped a bit later in the week, when it was revealed that the NSW ALP boss Jamie Clements was being accused of sexual harassment and many people in the party were asking him to go, such as former NSW Premier Kristina Keneally, NSW Acting Opposition Leader Linda Burnie and Shorten himself. It’s believed that Clements wanted $1 million to go, but whether that happened was unclear when it was announced that he had resigned, as he put it “for the good of the party”.

Clive Palmer and his Palmer United Party are under scrutiny this week after Palmer’s company Queensland Nickel sacked hundreds of workers after they were unable to get financial assistance to the tune of $35 million from the Queensland Government, despite the fact that the company donated nearly $290,000 to the PUP at the end of 2015.

Finally this week, Save the Children staffers have been vindicated over accusations they were causing trouble on Nauru; there are concerns about the share market and commodity prices as the price of oil drops to below USD $30 a barrel; Nick Xenophon and his party the Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) have announced their candidates for this year’s election with a candidate in Tony Abbott’s seat of Warringah; and there are also concerns that the government is trying to make it harder for people to prove they need the Disability Pension.

Tweet of the Week

Something for us all to think about.

And if you can guess who it was, well done you.

Things I’ve Been Looking at Online

First Dog on the Moon on killing off carp with herpes – The Guardian

First Dog on the Moon “moonsplains” sexism – The Guardian